How many voters voted in the 2024 election?

Early voting and mail-in registration have begun pouring in across the country, and state-by-state statistics show growing voter enthusiasm.

The latest polls suggest a narrow margin in the race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, and the results are expected to come down to the performance of each candidate in the seven swing states: Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada. and North Carolina.

States have long allowed at least some Americans to vote early, such as members of the military and people with disabilities who cannot get to the polls. Many states extended eligibility in 2020 during the COVID-19 crisis.

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In the last presidential election, mail-in voting tended to upset the Democratic Alliance. In 2020, 60% of Democrats reported voting by mail, compared to 32% of Republicans, according to the report. 2021 study from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab.

As of Thursday morning, more than 58 million votes have been cast across the country.

Here's a breakdown of where early voting, either by mail or in person, took place in seven battleground states, according to the Associated Press. Some states, such as Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina and Pennsylvania also provide for group classification of first ballots still cast.

Arizona – 1,826,892
Arizona's early polls by party:
Democrats: 616,680
Republicans: 755,131
Third party voters: 455,081

Georgia – 3,271,866

Michigan – 2,197,885

Nevada – 786,437
Early voting in Nevada by party:
Democrats: 269,941
Republicans: 309,157
Third party voters: 207,339

North Carolina – 3,368,361
Early voting in North Carolina is by party
Democrats: 1,106,301
Republicans: 1,148,621
Unaffiliated voters: 1,093,059
Third party voters: 20,380

Pennsylvania – 1,550,128
Early voting in Pennsylvania is by party
Democrats: 881,779
Republicans: 501,736
Third party voters: 166,613

Wisconsin – 1,109,037

Over the past two decades, early voting has grown exponentially. Although early polls show voter enthusiasm, they do not reliably determine which candidate wins the race, because fewer voters are expected to vote early than in previous presidential elections.

Election workers oversee early election voting at a polling station in Marietta, Georgia, on Oct. 15, 2024. (Reuters/ Jayla Whitfield-Anderson)

In 2020, the Fox News Poll Analysis they found that 71% of voters vote before Election Day, 30% vote early and 41% vote by mail. In this case, polls suggest that nearly four out of 10 voters will show up before Nov. 5, according to a Gallup poll.

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Democrats and Republicans are expected to split slightly in early voting this cycle. In the past four years, Democrats have won the overall early vote by 11 points. However, two things have changed: first, with the COVID-19 pandemic no longer on the horizon, many voters will be more determined to turn out on Election Day. Second, unlike in 2020, Trump and the GOP are no longer encouraging their voters to vote early. The result should be a narrow party gap once the votes are counted.

A sample ballot and voting sign is displayed on the first day of Virginia's early voting at the Long Bridge Park Aquatics and Fitness Center on Sept. 20, 2024 in Arlington, Virginia. (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

Some states also divide their primary ballots — for example, by party, race, or age. Comparing these results to other elections may give the impression that one candidate or party is now doing better than another.

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Additionally, while early voting data shows the party registration of some voters, it does not reveal how they voted. States do not release actual vote tallies until election night. Ballot data that some states now release shows the relative proportions of voters who requested or returned a ballot. However, that is not the same as their actual vote. For example, a voter may have registered as a Democrat decades ago, but chose to vote for Trump this year. Many voters are not registered with any party, making their vote a mystery.